Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 7.594066 8.761308 10.008515 11.435914 13.019794 14.718907 16.674829
2025-03-16 5.622572 7.149183 8.902724 11.048113 13.583410 16.465130 19.968318
2025-03-23 4.633015 6.430597 8.631645 11.482553 15.031846 19.258193 24.620214
2025-03-30 3.733869 5.645963 8.135128 11.534800 15.971615 21.476165 28.722315
2025-04-06 2.876087 4.750205 7.345796 11.080258 16.178809 22.751859 31.702349
2025-04-13 2.202895 3.978828 6.594518 10.551830 16.188927 23.717956 34.289118
2025-04-20 1.920940 3.735753 6.545483 10.968626 17.479635 26.412776 39.246311
2025-04-27 1.785657 3.698867 6.787810 11.812113 19.407172 30.053446 45.627169
2025-05-04 1.625163 3.587686 6.891148 12.438552 21.041196 33.347739 51.658722
2025-05-11 1.388900 3.296022 6.659409 12.508484 21.832355 35.463174 56.111692
2025-05-18 1.133796 2.916572 6.225374 12.199436 22.003308 36.663131 59.284620
2025-05-25 0.934256 2.604610 5.863661 11.963147 22.250585 37.959830 62.616528
2025-06-01 0.791904 2.389187 5.659406 11.990819 22.944320 39.995971 67.176738
2025-06-08 0.652194 2.146286 5.368286 11.833731 23.318662 41.555042 71.085757
2025-06-15 0.604091 2.114772 5.492969 12.440495 25.004641 45.221209 78.303424
2025-06-22 0.522172 1.976025 5.376615 12.582716 25.898248 47.665810 83.731298
2025-06-29 0.411236 1.724568 4.979930 12.144347 25.742880 48.411112 86.543581
2025-07-06 0.315062 1.480746 4.557015 11.603099 25.354592 48.740964 88.693239
2025-07-13 0.288465 1.449655 4.626452 12.068479 26.819431 52.183605 95.882158
2025-07-20 0.286167 1.501585 4.903807 12.987603 29.166270 57.176415 105.686202
2025-07-27 0.271913 1.507040 5.065009 13.668572 31.093649 61.515739 114.539733
2025-08-03 0.233719 1.410525 4.952515 13.747383 31.879771 63.933621 120.331056
2025-08-10 0.186626 1.258068 4.667300 13.416256 31.852898 64.943212 123.833130